European Transport Forecast Model

NEAC model is particularly suitable for modelling freight flows.  Its main use is for transport infrastructure policies, and for specialised areas such as port competition and containerisation.  Building on this it is also used for environmental and climate change policy analysis, and its large geographical scope also makes it suitable in areas such as regional policy, maritime affairs and the European neighbourhood policy.

It has been used for impact assessments, such as the Maritime Services Directive (DG-MOVE) and the Streamlining of TEN-T Directive (DG-MOVE).  Otherwise it is used for a wide variety of TEN-T  forecasting exercises, including TEN-STAC and the TEN-T Corridor studies (2014-2018). It can also be used for network/accessibility analyses such as the Safe and Secure Parking Study (DG-MOVE) to analyse the accessibility and provision of parking facilities for lorries at European scale.

Impact types that can be assessed with the models include:

Economic Impacts

• Operating Costs Analysis of cost savings for transport users: 
  • through: Analysis of cost savings for transport users
• Trade and Investment:
  • through: Trade forecasts
• Functioning of the internal market and competition 
  • ports, through: Analysis of port competition and captiveness of port hinterlands
• Specific Regions or Sectors 
  • regions; through: Model outputs detailed at NUTS3 level or at network link level.

Environmental Impacts

• Climate
  • emission of GHG
    • through: Conversion of transport quantities per mode of transport (TKM, VKM) into energy demand and emissions.
• Air quality
  • pollution (NOX, SOX, PM)
    • through: Conversion of transport quantities per mode of transport  (TKM, VKM) into energy demand and emissions.
• Transport and the use of energy
  • through: Conversion of transport quantities per mode of transport  (TKM, VKM) into energy demand