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PRIMES

PRIMES Energy System Model

Energyemissionsenergy demandenergy supply

policy support

policy role

The PRIMES model is designed to provide long-term energy system projections and system restructuring up to 2070, both in demand and supply sides. The model (including its transport module PRIMES-TREMOVE) can support impact assessment of specific energy, climate, transport and environment policies and measures, applied at Member State or EU level, including price signals, such as taxation, subsidies, ETS, as well as technology promoting policies, RES supporting policies, efficiency promoting policies, environmental policies and technology standards. The PRIMES model is sufficiently detailed to represent concrete policy measures in various sectors, including market design options for the EU internal electricity and gas markets. Policy analysis is based on comparative analysis of policy scenarios against a “baseline” projection.

Note: the model contributions indicated in this section focus on the assessment for policy options. In addition, this model is extensively used for the construction of the baseline in the EU Reference Scenario. This is indicated under the ‘additional information’ section for the related impact assessments. To learn more please see the following publications:

EU reference scenario 2016. Energy, transport and GHG emissions: trends to 2050, Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2016, https://doi.org/10.2833/9127

EU Reference Scenario 2020. Energy, Transport and GHG Emissions: Trends to 2050, Publications Office, Luxembourg, 2021, https://doi.org/10.2833/35750

policy cycle

This model contributes to the following phases of the policy cycle

policy areas

This model can contribute to the following policy areas

Agriculture and rural development
Banking and financial services
Borders and security
Budget
Business and industry
Climate action
Competition
Consumers
Culture and media
Customs
Digital economy and society
EU enlargement
Economy, finance and the euro
Education and training
Employment and social affairs
Energy
Environment
European neighbourhood policy
Food safety
Foreign affairs and security policy
Fraud prevention
Home affairs
Humanitarian aid and civil protection
Institutional affairs
International cooperation and development
Justice and fundamental rights
Maritime affairs and fisheries
Migration and asylum
Public health
Regional policy
Research and innovation
Single market
Sport
Taxation
Trade
Transport
Youth

impact assessments

Starting from July 2017, this model supported the ex-ante impact assessments of the European Commission listed below.

  1. 06 February 2024
  2. 01 June 2023
  3. 01 June 2023
  4. 01 June 2023
  5. 14 February 2023
  6. 30 November 2022
  7. 14 July 2021
  8. 14 July 2021
  9. 14 July 2021
  10. 14 July 2021
  11. 14 July 2021
  12. 14 July 2021
  13. 14 July 2021
  14. 14 July 2021
  15. 14 July 2021
  16. 17 September 2020