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Joint Research Center (JRC)
JRC-EU-TIMES

JRC TIMES energy system model for the EU

miscellaneousenergy system modeloptimisation modelpartial equilibrium model

Quality & Transparency

Quality

Model uncertainties

Models are by definition affected by uncertainties (in input data, input parameters, scenario definitions, etc.). Have the model uncertainties been quantified? Are uncertainties accounted for in your simulations?

yes
Previous JRC reports have shown how uncertainty of cost and efficiency parameters impact technologies' competitiveness.

    Sensitivity analysis

    Sensitivity analysis helps identifying the uncertain inputs mostly responsible for the uncertainty in the model responses. Has the model undergone sensitivity analysis?

    yes
    The model's paradigm can be called robust as shown by different peer reviewed scientific papers.

      Have model results been published in peer-reviewed articles?

      yes
      The model was validated by colleagues from within the Commission as well as people from IEA, Lulea University of Technology, ECN, ETI, EDF, CRES, Fraunhofer ISI and ENERIS.

        Has the model formally undergone scientific review by a panel of international experts?

        Please note that this does not refer to the cases when model results were validated by stakeholders.

        no

          Model validation

          Has model validation been done? Have model predictions been confronted with observed data (ex-post)?

          not applicable
          JRC-EU-TIMES does not estimate any probability of occurrence for the scenarios and its goal is not to do forecasts for the short term.

            Transparency

            To what extent do input data come from publicly available sources?

            This may include sources accessible upon subscription and/or payment

            Based on both publicly available and restricted-access sources

            Is the full model database as such available to external users?

            Whether or not it implies a specific procedure or a fee

            no
            A public version of the JRC-EU-TIMES database is under investigation.

              Have model results been presented in publicly available reports?

              Note this excludes IA reports.

              yes

              Have output datasets been made publicly available?

              Note this could also imply a specific procedure or a fee.

              yes
              Examples or the baseline scenario of the Heatroadmap project as well as the runs for the future Low Carbon Energy Observatory project.

                Is there any user friendly interface presenting model results that is accessible to the public?

                For instance: Dashboard, interactive interfaces...

                no

                  Has the model been documented in a publicly available dedicated report or a manual?

                  Note this excludes IA reports.

                  yes
                  All assumptions are documented in a model description from 2013 and in follow up papers.

                  Is there a dedicated public website where information about the model is provided?

                  no

                    Is the model code open-source?

                    no

                    Can the code be accessed upon request?

                    yes