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Joint Research Center (JRC)
FORECAST Industry

Forecasting Energy Consumption Analysis and Simulation Tool (model part: industry)

ΟtherEnergySimulationIndustryDecarbonisation

Quality & Transparency

Quality

Model uncertainties

Models are by definition affected by uncertainties (in input data, input parameters, scenario definitions, etc.). Have the model uncertainties been quantified? Are uncertainties accounted for in your simulations?

no
Uncertainties are addressed with scenario variations. Multiple scenarios allow to narrow the solution space of "possible scenarios" and what they mean for the model output.

    Sensitivity analysis

    Sensitivity analysis helps identifying the uncertain inputs mostly responsible for the uncertainty in the model responses. Has the model undergone sensitivity analysis?

    yes
    Sensitivity analysis is addressed with scenario variations. Multiple scenarios allow to narrow the solution space of "possible scenarios" and what they mean for the model output.

      Have model results been published in peer-reviewed articles?

      yes

        Has the model formally undergone scientific review by a panel of international experts?

        Please note that this does not refer to the cases when model results were validated by stakeholders.

        no

          Model validation

          Has model validation been done? Have model predictions been confronted with observed data (ex-post)?

          no

            Transparency

            To what extent do input data come from publicly available sources?

            This may include sources accessible upon subscription and/or payment

            Based on both publicly available and restricted-access sources

            Is the full model database as such available to external users?

            Whether or not it implies a specific procedure or a fee

            no

              Have model results been presented in publicly available reports?

              Note this excludes IA reports.

              yes

              Have output datasets been made publicly available?

              Note this could also imply a specific procedure or a fee.

              yes

              Is there any user friendly interface presenting model results that is accessible to the public?

              For instance: Dashboard, interactive interfaces...

              yes

              Has the model been documented in a publicly available dedicated report or a manual?

              Note this excludes IA reports.

              yes

              Is there a dedicated public website where information about the model is provided?

              yes

              Is the model code open-source?

              no

              Can the code be accessed upon request?

              no