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Joint Research Center (JRC)
IFM-CAP

Individual Farm Model for Common Agricultural Policy Analysis

Agricultureoptimisation modelagricultureCAPFarm Level ModelEUmicroeconomic analysis

Quality & Transparency

Quality

Model uncertainties

Models are by definition affected by uncertainties (in input data, input parameters, scenario definitions, etc.). Have the model uncertainties been quantified? Are uncertainties accounted for in your simulations?

no
The model calibration is estimated based on observed farm data. The scenario simulations are usually done for one data point. The duration of model computational time is long which does not allow to run complex analysis of model uncertainties.

    Sensitivity analysis

    Sensitivity analysis helps identifying the uncertain inputs mostly responsible for the uncertainty in the model responses. Has the model undergone sensitivity analysis?

    yes
    Sensitivity analysis of model responses to different production shocks. The duration of model computational time is long which does not allow to run complex sensitivity analysis.

      Have model results been published in peer-reviewed articles?

      yes
      The model development was peer-reviewed by external experts in the field. Papers using the model were published in peer-review journals.

        Has the model formally undergone scientific review by a panel of international experts?

        Please note that this does not refer to the cases when model results were validated by stakeholders.

        no

          Model validation

          Has model validation been done? Have model predictions been confronted with observed data (ex-post)?

          no
          The model calibration is estimated based on observed farm data. The model predictions were not confronted with observed data.

            Transparency

            To what extent do input data come from publicly available sources?

            This may include sources accessible upon subscription and/or payment

            Based on both publicly available and restricted-access sources

            Is the full model database as such available to external users?

            Whether or not it implies a specific procedure or a fee

            no
            The main model data (i.e. FADN) are confidential and are not publicly available. They are subject to confidentiality agreement with DG AGRI. They can be accessed by requesting them from DG AGRI and signing the confidentiality agreement.

              Have model results been presented in publicly available reports?

              Note this excludes IA reports.

              yes

              Have output datasets been made publicly available?

              Note this could also imply a specific procedure or a fee.

              no
              Only aggregated data respecting the conditions set in the confidentiality agreement. Individual farm data are not publically available.

                Is there any user friendly interface presenting model results that is accessible to the public?

                For instance: Dashboard, interactive interfaces...

                no

                  Has the model been documented in a publicly available dedicated report or a manual?

                  Note this excludes IA reports.

                  yes

                  Is there a dedicated public website where information about the model is provided?

                  no

                    Is the model code open-source?

                    no

                    Can the code be accessed upon request?

                    yes