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Joint Research Center (JRC)
EU-EMS

EU Economic Modelling System

Economyemploymentresiliencepreparednesseducationsupply chainsinequalitymigration

Quality & Transparency

Quality

Model uncertainties

Models are by definition affected by uncertainties (in input data, input parameters, scenario definitions, etc.). Have the model uncertainties been quantified? Are uncertainties accounted for in your simulations?

yes
Uncertainties are being quantified for each model run, when used for the EU policy support.

    Sensitivity analysis

    Sensitivity analysis helps identifying the uncertain inputs mostly responsible for the uncertainty in the model responses. Has the model undergone sensitivity analysis?

    yes
    Sensitivity analyses are undertaken for each model run, when used for the EU policy support.

      Have model results been published in peer-reviewed articles?

      yes
      EU-EMS has not yet undergone an external peer review (new model, v.1 released in 2019).An external peer review is in the planning.

        Has the model formally undergone scientific review by a panel of international experts?

        Please note that this does not refer to the cases when model results were validated by stakeholders.

        no

          Model validation

          Has model validation been done? Have model predictions been confronted with observed data (ex-post)?

          no
          EU-EMS has is being validated - observed data (ex-post).

            Transparency

            To what extent do input data come from publicly available sources?

            This may include sources accessible upon subscription and/or payment

            Entirely based on publicly available sources

            Is the full model database as such available to external users?

            Whether or not it implies a specific procedure or a fee

            yes
            The EU-EMS underlying database is publicly available via the European Union Open Data Portal (EU ODP).

            Have model results been presented in publicly available reports?

            Note this excludes IA reports.

            yes

            Have output datasets been made publicly available?

            Note this could also imply a specific procedure or a fee.

            yes
            EU-EMS outputs are made publicly available via the European Union Open Data Portal (EU ODP).

            Is there any user friendly interface presenting model results that is accessible to the public?

            For instance: Dashboard, interactive interfaces...

            no

              Has the model been documented in a publicly available dedicated report or a manual?

              Note this excludes IA reports.

              yes
              EU-EMS is transparently documented (including underlying data, assumptions and equations, architecture, results) and the relevant documentation is available to the general public via the European Union Open Data Portal (EU ODP).

              Is there a dedicated public website where information about the model is provided?

              no

                Is the model code open-source?

                no

                Can the code be accessed upon request?

                yes