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EU-EMS

EU Economic Modelling System

Economyemploymentresiliencepreparednesseducationsupply chainsinequalitymigration

policy support

policy role

EU-EMS can address skills and preparedness, which is essential to ensuring economic prosperity and social cohesion. Model can demonstrates that societies with strong vocational training programs, lifelong learning initiatives, and digital literacy efforts outperform those that neglect human capital development. Economic reforms targeting education, labour mobility, and equity help reduce regional disparities, promoting inclusive growth. Skills preparedness is closely linked to labour market flexibility, facilitating smoother transitions during periods of economic restructuring or technological disruption. The model emphasises clean energy as a pivotal driver of long-term sustainability and economic competitiveness. A just transition to a net-zero economy ensures energy security while fostering innovation in green technologies. Investments in renewable energy, circular economy, and sustainable transport systems help align industrial strategies with climate goals. The model can show how economies that proactively implement net-zero targets experience growth in sectors like clean tech, electric vehicles, and energy storage. However, without preparedness, skills, and cohesion reforms, these transitions could lead to job losses in traditional energy sectors, thus requiring robust upskilling and reskilling programs. EU-EMS can model technological sovereignty and innovation capacity that are critical for maintaining global competitiveness. Model simulations can show that economies investing in AI, 5G, and next-gen manufacturing processes see productivity gains, boosting their international trade position. Countries and regions that prioritize R&D, support start-ups, and streamline innovation processes exhibit stronger industrial strategies. A focus on cybersecurity and data governance within technological sovereignty helps safeguard democratic processes and ensure security, especially in critical infrastructure. EU-EMS can demonstrate that security threats, both digital and physical, are heightened by international instability. The model can illustrate that democracies with robust crisis management frameworks and transparent governance tend to maintain higher levels of public trust and resilience. Reforms aimed at improving transparency, governance, and preparedness enhance economic security and industrial growth. The intersection of security and democratic resilience in EU-EMS show how strong institutions can better respond to crises, be they financial, political, or environmental. The model can analyse the importance of strategic trade policies that align with domestic industrial goals while preserving global economic ties. Countries that strike a balance between protecting key sectors and engaging in international trade see greater economic security and productivity. Simplifying regulatory frameworks and reducing barriers to trade and innovation helps foster business growth, especially for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and start-ups. The model can be sued for identifying economies adopting streamlined processes for business creation, regulatory compliance, and financial services integration (through initiatives like the Savings and Investments Union) see higher levels of entrepreneurship and investment.

policy cycle

This model contributes to the following phases of the policy cycle

policy areas

This model can contribute to the following policy areas

Agriculture and rural development
Banking and financial services
Borders and security
Budget
Business and industry
Climate action
Competition
Consumers
Culture and media
Customs
Digital economy and society
EU enlargement
Economy, finance and the euro
Education and training
Employment and social affairs
Energy
Environment
European neighbourhood policy
Food safety
Foreign affairs and security policy
Fraud prevention
Home affairs
Humanitarian aid and civil protection
Institutional affairs
International cooperation and development
Justice and fundamental rights
Maritime affairs and fisheries
Migration and asylum
Public health
Regional policy
Research and innovation
Single market
Sport
Statistics
Taxation
Trade
Transport
Youth

impact assessment studies

Starting from July 2017, this model supported the ex-ante impact assessments of the European Commission listed below.

  1. 01 August 2019