SWD/2021/603 final
Impact assessment accompanying the document Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council: amending Directive 2003/87/EC as regards aviation's contribution to the Union’s economy-wide emission reduction target and appropriately implementing a global market-based measure
- publication date
- 14 July 2021
- additional information
The modelling results are available in the report 'Assessment of ICAO's global market-based measure (CORSIA) pursuant to Article 28b and for studying cost pass-through pursuant to Article 3d of the EU ETS Directive' [for details, see the impact assessment report] as well as in the document presenting an update of the modelling results, taking account of the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak [full reference to be inserted after publication of the document].
The most recent EU reference scenario [1] forms the baseline for this impact assessment. The policy scenarios are developed from the basis of the Climate Target Plan policy scenarios (SWD/2020/176 final).
The Reference Scenario from PRIMES-TREMOVE modelling was used to provide inputs to AIM modelling, including base scenario carbon price, share of biofuels in total energy consumption, fuel prices, population and GDP, aviation and energy demand.
[1] European Commission, EU Reference Scenario 2020: Energy, Transport ad GHG Emissions: Trends to 2050, Publications Office, Luxembourg, 2021, https://doi.org/10.2833/35750.
- related EPRS documentation
- Initial Appraisal of a European Commission Impact Assessment: Fit for 55 package: Revising the EU emissions trading system as regards aviation An initial analysis of the strengths and weaknesses of the European Commission's impact assessment.
- models involved in baseline and assessment of policy options