Annex 4 analytical methods

model description

general description

acronym
TaxBEN
name
OECD tax-benefit model
main purpose
TaxBEN produces policy indicators on household incomes, labour costs and work incentives in different family situations and policy settings. It covers a broad set of income-support and tax policies for all EU countries going back to early 2000s (for most countries).
homepage
http://www.oecd.org/social/benefits-and-wages/

Developer and its nature

ownership
Third-party ownership (commercial companies, Member States, other organisations, …)
ownership additional info
Sole ownership [OECD]. The European Commission contributed to the development of the TaxBEN model since 2002. The Commission can access the TaxBEN model through an online platform on which it is also possible to change policy parameters. However the Commission is not owner of the model. The TaxBEN model can be accessed through an online platform, after the review of the application process by the OECD. At the European Commission everyone who wants to access the online platform should get in touch with EMPL.F4 who assigns access subject to the capacity constraints of the infrastructure. The online platform works in Stata language, though the software installation is not needed.
is the model code open-source?
NO

Model structure and approach with any key assumptions, limitations and simplifications

details on model structure and approach

For a complete overview of TaxBEN readers are invited to consult "TaxBEN: The OECD tax-benefit simulation model Methodology, user guide and policy applications", December 2020 (https://www.oecd.org/social/benefits-and-wages/OECD-TaxBEN-methodology-and-manual.pdf).

TaxBEN follows a “hypothetical family” approach, that is to say, it calculates tax liabilities and benefit entitlements for a broad set of stylised families (sometimes referred to as “vignettes”) whose characteristics are relevant from a policy perspective. The hypothetical family approach does not require the use of survey or administrative microdata, which are typically available only with significant time lags or are difficult to access. The focus on stylised but policy-relevant households enables broad country coverage, timely results and model use by a broad range of users without a need to apply for access to household micro-data, but at the same time results based on the TaxBEN model are not representative for the whole population.

The model covers insurance benefits, assistance and universal benefits, including unemployment, minimum-income, housing and in-work benefits, as well as cash family support. On the tax side, TaxBEN incorporates personal income taxes as well as mandatory social contributions, non-tax compulsory payments and payroll taxes. Childcare fees and benefits for parents using centre-based childcare and disability benefits are included for selected countries and policy years. The most important policy areas that currently remain outside the scope of the model are direct taxes on wealth (e.g. taxes on immovable and movable property, including council tax at a local level), indirect taxes (e.g. VAT), early-retirement and retirement benefits, and in-kind transfers (e.g. subsidised housing, transport and health care). Sickness benefits and short-time working benefits (partial unemployment benefits and similar job-retention measures) were included in the policy library in 2020 and may be added to the model in the future.

model inputs

The modelling relies on a consistent set of assumptions across countries and uses official information on policy parameters that is provided and validated through country delegates of relevant OECD Working Parties.

For each country every year the OECD develops country documents describing in detail the policy rules and parameters they apply in a selected policy year to calculate tax and benefit amounts for the families and labour market circumstances that are within the scope of the tax-benefit model. The reports are validated through country delegates of relevant OECD Working Parties. They use a standardised format to facilitate cross-country comparisons and monitoring of policy reforms over time. They also provide clear links between policy descriptions and model’s parameters, as well standardized output from the Tax-benefit model. For particularly complicated policy mechanisms, the reports may include also boxes or charts with detailed step-by-step calculations of specific benefit or tax amounts.

Another input to the model are earnings decile points for full time employees in absolute terms and in % of the average wage, by gender. Earnings distribution data, as well as earnings of full-time minimum-wage workers, enable the calculation of indicator values at different points in the country-specific earnings distribution. These data are derived from the OECD Earnings Database and adapted to the TaxBEN model.

model outputs

The main core outputs of the TaxBEN model include:     

  • Net household income and individual income components for selected family types and labour market circumstances.
  • Headline policy indicators of tax burdens, benefit generosity, work incentives.
  • Comparable information on the distribution of earnings by gender and on the annual statutory minimum wages of full-time workers. This information is directly incorporated in the TaxBEN model.

Intended field of application

policy role

The European Commission has supported TaxBEN since 2002. Results provide inputs into EC flagship publications (such as the different editions of the Employment and Social Development in Europe report by DG EMPL [1] and the in the Taxation Trends in the European Union report [2] by DG TAXUD), the European Semester country reports and recommendations, as well as a number of Commission publications and databases that provide monitoring capabilities in the context of key convergence objectives, such as the European Pillar of Social Rights. TaxBEN also features regularly in analytical reports and studies undertaken, commissioned or supported by the European Commission.

More precisely, the European Commission uses the tax and benefit indicators produced by TaxBEN in the context of  the European Semester and for benchmarking of tax wedge (DG ECFIN), minimum income (DG EMPL), unemployment benefit (DG EMPL) and minimum wage (DG EMPL). In addition, the Social Scoreboard contains one indicator (net earnings of a full-time single worker without children earning an average wage) based on it. Finally TaxBEN has also been used for the impact assessment on the Directive on “Adequate minimum wages for workers across Member States”, which Commission proposal was published on 28 October 2020.

Tax and benefits indicators based on the TaxBEN model are available in the European Commission database (https://europa.eu/economy_finance/db_indicators/tab/) and in a restricted set in the Eurostat database (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database)

[1] https://ec.europa.eu/social/main.jsp?advSearchKey=esdereport&mode=advancedSubmit&catId=22&policyArea=0&policyAreaSub=0&country=0&year=0

[2] https://ec.europa.eu/taxation_customs/business/economic-analysis-taxation/taxation-trends-eu-union_en

policy areas
  • Economy, finance and the euro 
  • Taxation 
  • Employment and social affairs 

Model transparency and quality assurance

Are uncertainties accounted for in your simulations?
NO - Deterministic model. Users can design uncertainty through simulating various scenarios.
Has the model undergone sensitivity analysis?
NOT_APPLICABLE - Due to the nature of the model this does not apply.
Has the model been published in peer review articles?
YES - Model review is assured by its academic and policy uses and annual validation by ministries. TaxBEN coding language allow users to check what is modelled and how. Research using TaxBEN is published in OECD and European Commission reports. In addition, papers using TaxBEN are published in reputable research journals or books.
Has the model formally undergone scientific review by a panel of international experts?
NO
Has model validation been done? Have model predictions been confronted with observed data (ex-post)?
YES - The model is validated by ministries. In addition users contribute to its improvements. The second question is not applicable because the model does not do predictions for the future. When TaxBEN is used to simulate policy changes the scenario used is selected by the user.
To what extent do input data come from publicly available sources?
Based on both publicly available and restricted-access sources
Is the full model database as such available to external users?
NO - TaxBEN relies on nine decile points for the full-time earnings distribution which are computed based on the OECD Earnings Distribution Database (which compiles data from the European Union Structure of Earnings Survey, Labour Force Survey, country-specific household surveys or enterprise surveys). Decile points are then expressed as ratios of the mean in the same survey. Finally, these ratios are applied to the AW measure. In this way, the shape of the earnings distribution is maintained, but the distribution is anchored on the AW measure, making all TaxBEN wages internally consistent. When earnings distribution microdata is not available for a particular year, inter- or extrapolation is used to fill gaps in decile-point data. More details on data inputs can be found in the methodological document published by the OECD.
Have model results been presented in publicly available reports?
YES
Have output datasets been made publicly available?
NO - Output indicators are available in the EC tax and benefit database. In addition Users can access the TaxBEN model through: 1) A tax-benefit web calculator available from the OECD webpage; 2) An online platform, after the review of the application process by the OECD.
Is there any user friendly interface presenting model results that is accessible to the public?
YES - At the European Commission everyone who wants to access the online platform should get in touch with EMPL.F4.
Has the model been documented in a publicly available dedicated report or a manual?
YES

Intellectual property rights

Licence type
Non-Free Software licence

application to the impact assessment

Please note that in the annex 4 of the impact assessment report, the general description of the model (available in MIDAS) has to be complemented with the specific information on how the model has been applied in the impact assessment.

See Better Regulation Toolbox, tool #11 Format of the impact assessment report).