PEPSIT

Product Environmental Policy Stock and Impact Tool
Fact Sheet

Source: Commission modelling inventory and knowledge management system (MIDAS)

Date of Report Generation: Thu Mar 06 2025

Dissemination: Public

© European Union, 2025

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Overview

Acronym

PEPSIT

Full title

Product Environmental Policy Stock and Impact Tool

Main purpose

To model stock and impacts of products, in the context of environmental product policy formulation. To perform objective, quality-controlled socio-economic analyses of technology options of, products and processes to support eco-design, energy label, ecolabel, green public procurement (GPP) policies. 

Summary

The Product Environmental Policy Stock and Impact Tool– PEPSIT is a quantitative tool developed to support EU environment and sustainability policies through socio-economic analyses of technology options of products and processes,at EU-level.

The tool has three main goals:

  1. To carry out techno-economic characterization of products
  2. To estimate the sales and stocks of given products over time, in the EU
  3. To perform quantitative environmental and economic impact assessments of different technology options

The tool is based on a bottom-up stock and cash flow model, that provides the quantitative information underpinning the impact assessments for product policies. It integrates calculations at the unit level (i.e. one unit of a product) such as the product lifetime, utilities consumption and cost breakdown, life cycle costing and life cycle impacts. This is extrapolated to EU-level using the stock and sales information, allowing the estimation of economic or environmental impacts at EU  level.

The policy areas of potential use of the model are eco-design, energy label, ecolabel, green public procurement (GPP) extended product responsibility and product end of life policy. It has been successfully used in a number of EC impact assessments. 

Model categories

EnvironmentEnergy

Model keywords

stock modelsustainable consumptionecomodellingeco-designenergy labelecolabelgreen public procurement

Model homepage

Ownership and Licence

Ownership

Third-party ownership (commercial companies, Member States, other organisations, …)

Ownership details

The model has been developed by PRé Consultant BV 2017. It has been implemented using Microsoft Excel.

Licence type

Non-Free Software licence

The license has one or more of the following restrictions: it prohibits creation of derivative works; it prohibits commercial use; it obliges to share the licensed or derivative works on the same conditions.

Details

Structure and approach

  1. To start the modelling of a new product, one can start from scratch, introducing all parameters, or use default values. A dashboard intro sheet describes the main step of the model and the parameters and calculations to be used
  2. The main results are presented in an output sheet

Input and parametrization

For each new product analysed, the Inputs are:

  • Sales, or stock, or ownership ratio of the population of the product
  • Lifetime of the product (stochastic or deterministic: average lifetime, Weibull parameters
  • Information on End-of-Life (EoL) (percentage reused, recycled, disposed of)
  • Sales distribution of different subtypes of the product
  • Utilities consumption (energy, gas, water, etc) per subtypes of the product (e.g. energy efficiency class)
  • Categorization of technologies (mature or emerging)
  • Manufacturer production cost or the base case
  • Increase pf the Manufacture Production Costs (MPC) per energy efficiency class
  • Breakdown of the Manufacture Production Costs (MPC). Learning curve parameters
  • Sales mark-ups 

Main output

The tool can calculate for each product one or more of the following outputs:

  • Average product lifetime
  • Average product utility consumption
  • Sales and stock in the EU
  • Life Cycle Costing (LCC) at unit level and at EU level :
    • Installation costs
    • Repair & maintenance
    • Operation costs (auxiliaries)
    • Operation costs (utilities (energy and water)
    • Purchase price (ORP)

Spatial & Temporal extent

The output has the following spatial-temporal resolution and extent:

ParameterDescription
Spatial extent / country coverageEU Member states 27
Spatial resolutionWorld-regions (supranational)Entity
Temporal extentLong-term (more than 15 years)
Up to 2050
Temporal resolutionYears

Quality & Transparency

Quality

Model uncertainties

Models are by definition affected by uncertainties (in input data, input parameters, scenario definitions, etc.). Have the model uncertainties been quantified? Are uncertainties accounted for in your simulations?

yes
To a limited extent. The model is deterministic. Simulation of ranges of inputs is possible, but not an intrinsic part of the model. Only the calculation of lifetime of products is stochastic, but it is a separate module that does not carry the stochastic nature to the rest of the model.

    Sensitivity analysis

    Sensitivity analysis helps identifying the uncertain inputs mostly responsible for the uncertainty in the model responses. Has the model undergone sensitivity analysis?

    no
    The model is deterministic. Simulation of ranges of inputs and of scenarios and options is possible, and an essential part of the use of the model.

      Have model results been published in peer-reviewed articles?

      no

        Has the model formally undergone scientific review by a panel of international experts?

        Please note that this does not refer to the cases when model results were validated by stakeholders.

        no

          Model validation

          Has model validation been done? Have model predictions been confronted with observed data (ex-post)?

          no

            Transparency

            To what extent do input data come from publicly available sources?

            This may include sources accessible upon subscription and/or payment

            Based on both publicly available and restricted-access sources

            Is the full model database as such available to external users?

            Whether or not it implies a specific procedure or a fee

            no
            Data are directly visible in the model.

              Have model results been presented in publicly available reports?

              Note this excludes IA reports.

              no

              Have output datasets been made publicly available?

              Note this could also imply a specific procedure or a fee.

              no
              Follows the same availability rules as IAs from the Commission.

                Is there any user friendly interface presenting model results that is accessible to the public?

                For instance: Dashboard, interactive interfaces...

                no

                  Has the model been documented in a publicly available dedicated report or a manual?

                  Note this excludes IA reports.

                  no
                  Data and calculations are directly visible in the model

                  Is there a dedicated public website where information about the model is provided?

                  no

                    Is the model code open-source?

                    no

                    Can the code be accessed upon request?

                    yes

                    The model’s policy relevance and intended role in the policy cycle

                    The model is designed to contribute to the following policy areas

                    • Business and industry
                    • Consumers
                    • Energy
                    • Environment

                    The model is designed to contribute to the following phases of the policy cycle

                    • Formulation – such as ex-ante Impact Assessments

                    The model’s potential

                    The model is designed for use in policy formulation , specifically for economic and technical characterisation of policy options, and for  impact assessments. 

                    Previous use of the model in ex-ante impact assessments of the European Commission

                    Use of the model in ex-ante impact assessments since July 2017.

                    2019
                    SWD/2019/0347 final

                    Impact assessment accompanying the document Commission Regulation (EU) .../... laying down: ecodesign requirements for household dishwashers pursuant to Directive 2009/125/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Commission Regulation (EC) No 1275/2008 and repealing Commission Regulation (EU) No 1016/2010 and COMMISSION DELEGATED REGULATION (EU) .../... supplementing Regulation (EU) 2017/1369 of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards energy labelling of household dishwashers and repealing Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) No 1059/2010

                    Lead by
                    ENER
                    Run by
                    European Commission
                    Contribution role
                    baseline and assessment of policy options
                    Contribution details

                    The model helped to assess the following impacts:

                    • Sustainable production and consumption

                    2019
                    SWD/2019/0349 final

                    Impact assessment accompanying the document Commission Regulation (EU) .../... laying down: ecodesign requirements for household washing machines and household washer-dryers pursuant to Directive 2009/125/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council, amending Commission Regulation (EC) No 1275/2008 and repealing Commission Regulation (EU) No 1015/2010 and COMMISSION DELEGATED REGULATION (EU) .../... supplementing Regulation (EU) 2017/1369 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to energy labelling of household washing machines and household washer-dryers and repealing Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) No 1061/2010 and Commission Directive 96/60/EC

                    Lead by
                    ENER
                    Run by
                    European Commission
                    Contribution role
                    baseline and assessment of policy options
                    Contribution details

                    The model helped to assess the following impacts:

                    • Sustainable production and consumption

                    2019
                    SWD/2019/0340 final

                    Impact assessment accompanying the document Commission Regulation laying down: ecodesign requirements for welding equipment pursuant to Directive 2009/125/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council

                    Lead by
                    GROW
                    Run by
                    European Commission
                    Contribution role
                    baseline and assessment of policy options
                    Contribution details

                    The model helped to assess the following impacts:

                    • Sustainable production and consumption

                    Bibliographic references

                    Studies that uses the model or its results

                    No references in this category

                    Peer review for model validation

                    No references in this category

                    Model documentation

                    No references in this category

                    Other related documents

                    No references in this category